Spotify: A Better Model

What I miss is owning an album.

To be able to say I have all their albums.

The choosing which albums to buy, the deciding.

Spotify lets you have everything, at an insanely cheap price. For half what you used to spend on a CD you get virtually all music ever made that is worth a listen, each month.

And that means that your meagre subscription gets split amongst a lot of artists, after Spotify’s cut.

If Spotify doubled the subscription cost, and doubled the royalties, most artists would still feel ripped off.

So we need a better way, perhaps one that focusses on who your favourites are?

Current albums: Each month, on the first, you get to choose up to 5 albums as your current favourites. These are the only albums you can play more than twice, as albums, in that month. You can choose less than 5 and add others during the month

Why it works? You have anticipation and preparation for the new month. You get to share and compare your choices. And it is liking owning in the old days.

Lifetime fan: For a one-off fee, dictated by the artist, you get to listen to all of their music, and all of their future music, outside of any other limits.

Why it works? Fans can get exclusive perks. And you can call yourself a real fan.

Free albums: Any artist can have their albums provided for free, without royalties. These are outside of any limits as well.

Why it works? If you are not popular, letting people listen repeatedly and share with others can help launch you. Better than few plays and a tiny income.

Singles: Singles are free to listen to repeatedly, but only until they are available on an album. Then, once they are on an album, there are monthly limits, like maybe 10 plays.

Why it works? It is more like the radio used to be. Hear the single for free, buy the album.

Everything else: The same as the current Spotify model. Except you can’t listen to the same albums repeatedly. Or singles that are on albums repeatedly.

How does this work financially?

Minor artists get more plays if they choose the free option – because people will be less likely to play the major artists repeatedly.

All artists, big or small, have the ability to get a cash injection from signing up lifetime fans.

Major artists (who arguably make lots of money other ways, like tours) make less – increasing equality.

Subscribers get a more engaging experience.

Introducing Google Situ

It began with a minor feature that few people cared about, and became a key player in the digital world. Google Situ un-tethered us from personal devices, and introduced shared devices with interchangeable users.

There are two important factors that led to Situ:

Devices and screens with the minimum acceptable functionality are getting cheaper and cheaper – for example a Chromebook. It doesn’t need to be any better than it is now, for most things it is used for. So as technology improves, it will become cheaper. Likewise any tablet version. We are starting to see such devices used as menus and ordering systems in restaurants. They will become so cheap and ubiquitous that nobody will steal them because everybody already has one or three.

Personalization of devices keeps expanding. When we turn on Netflix it asks which profile to use. That is just the beginning. Soon we will have profiles for the family car, depending on who is using it. The home Spotify stereo system will ask who is using it, so as to access their playlists. The thermostat will adjust according to who is in the house and what their preference is…

Phase 1 – the cross device Chrome experience

For some time it has been easy for a Chrome browser to use multiple profiles, and you can easily switch from one to the other. So far, that has been aimed at people wanting to, say, switch from their business persona to their personal one.

But before long, when people hire an electric car (or use a share car) and of course it has Android Auto, they will want to log in and have it knowing who is driving. And logging in will be cumbersome.

But before that, so as the competition didn’t see it coming, Google started with the browser experience. And adjusted it to suit the new hybrid work models. Millions of people are now suddenly expected to cart a laptop from work and back, because sometimes you work from home. How does that fit with after work drinks, or going to the gym before work?

Google Situ frees you from bringing your laptop with you. It is a dongle with 2FA that carries where you are at, your “situation”, with you. Plug it in to any Chromebook and carry on where you left off. So that means one Chromebook at home, and one at work. It is especially suited to hot desking and pooled computers – just grab any one from the stack at the entrance.

Going overseas? Just use any Chromebook when you arrive, no need to bring it with you. Need to work on the plane? Use the one that comes with your seat.

This will be a hit with people who work in tech and early adopters. It will be known to some degree by most of the public, but not used by them.

Phase 2 – recognizing you

Dongles are OK, but Chromebooks are notoriously short on places to plug in something, so Google will offer multiple ways of letting a device know it is you whose profile/situ they should be using. Each will need some form of bio-identification in case someone steals it. Face scans would be fine.

  • Ring
  • Wristband
  • Watch
  • Phone

All do the same job, and some people might own one of each, to use depending on the environment. Going to a rock concert or for a run, you’d probably choose a wearable. Each could have other functions, but they also have Situ functionality, which when brought up close to a Chrome screen (which before long will be a Situ screen), will adjust everything to what your needs are.

I expect such devices would be initially registered by jumping through some hoops, but otherwise, as long as they regularly bio-identify you, nothing more needs to be done. Maybe a pin code needs to be entered onto the device you are using – easy.

Phase 3 – the fun begins

Now you have something as simple as a ring to identify you… use your imagination:

  • concert or flight tickets
  • smart TV profile
  • see your playlists on a stereo at a party
  • adjust the driver’s seat of a car
  • McDonalds remembers your favorite order when you use the ordering screen
  • security access to work

The key is easiness. No need for apps, no need to carry a phone, no logging in.

Screen = monopoly

If the experience is dependent on a Situ screen, a monopoly can occur (security can be an excuse, as Apple does currently). For example, every train and plane will have a screen on the back of the seat in front of you, to login and use In Situ. It won’t have an Apple screen and a Google screen and a Microsoft screen. It will have one screen.

Now keep in mind, this is just hardware, unlike the app and browser wars of the past. You can access anyone’s product within the Chrome experience. For Netflix and Spotify it is simply knowing who you are for convenience, not changing the experience or who you pay.

But because Google is controlling an entire ecosystem, it can milk aspects of it, just as it does now.

I think this is the first time I have predicted a product, and its name 😉

Global Census with QR Roofs

We have satellites which can see all corners of the globe, at quite high resolution. Enough to discern a QR Code that takes up all of each roof.

The QR can be fixed, or change with something like ePaper.

Each building can use smart home devices to store data around its contents:

  • People who live there
  • Visitors
  • Food items
  • Pets
  • Energy usage
  • Vitals like temperature

Each building can provide as much or as little data as they wish, however more gets rewarded, and regular updates get rewarded, and minimums are required if people are wanting to fully participate in society.

Data around people is non-identifiable. Age and gender, basically. But anything is possible.

Data is stored on local secure servers, the address of which come from the QR Code on the roof.

Satellites keep track of all the latest QR Codes and their geolocation.

Which means that we have a continuous census of Planet Earth. And the data is used in the same way as manual censuses every 5 or 10 years.

Earth Musks

A movement not unlike that of Elon’s Mars mission, but here on Earth:

  • Polar
  • Underwater
  • Deserts

Science geniuses make these habitats (barely) liveable, and at the same time try new forms of society. They argue that they have a right to be there, seeing as nobody else was using that part of Earth.

Any Old Robots

There’s always someone buying treasure from poor folk. In the 1800s it was iron. In recent years there have been stalls in shopping malls buying gold (“best prices”).

When robotics booms, I expect two things:

  • Legislated recycling of robot parts
  • Many manufacturers going broke and won’t recycle

I foresee a Star Wars scenario where robots are treated like scrap metal. I have decided to be a first mover, and I have registered anyoldrobots.com 🙂

Alien Contact Portal

Disturbingly, the QAnon crowd seem to be pivoting towards aliens are amongst us.

Some such people believe that dozens of different types of alien entities are here, with some good and some bad, and there are galactic councils and so on. All have arms and legs and are roughly our size…

Of course the info is channeled, or from actual witnesses who cannot show any even tiny amount of proof.

So why not give them the product they desire – a way to communicate directly with the aliens.

Call it a reverse-engineered, hyper quantum portal stargate micro macro dowaddle thingy… or whatever made up thing tests better. Pay some people to be the aliens, er, I mean translate the alien replies.

Some of the aliens will say something that captures the public imagination and will become the new Q.

Run ads on the site selling 5G protection magic wands or whatever.

Tiny Houses for Quarantine

For the COVID pandemic, we had quarantine in homes for locals, and quarantines in hotels or dedicated facilities for international arrivals. Even in countries like NZ that legendarily cut themselves off from the rest of the world, the virus still snuck in.

You can’t/won’t 100% stop people entering a country. Repatriation flights have crew. Goods arrive by manned flights and ships. Special permission is given to dignitaries and the rich & famous.

The next pandemic will hopefully see a country locked out from the rest of the world before it spreads to other countries. The best way to achieve that anywhere the virus appears is to shutdown the town/city where it is. That provides new challenges, as there often won’t be enough hotels to use for quarantine, and usually there won’t be any dedicated facilities. At the same time, supplies need to come in and out.

One thing we can do is have portable quarantine facilities that can be relocated to where they are needed, and that can by built-for-purpose tiny houses. These, by design, already fit on trailers. There’s even one that unfolds, for $US50K.

It just needs some tweaks:

  • Hospital grade air-conditioning
  • Food delivery hatches
  • A fence to limit outdoor exercise distance

Art Will Be Big

NFTs are of course ridiculous, but we are entering an era when many people have everything they need, and sometimes everything they want, so they are buying things that are less and less practical.

We also are shifting away from jobs that have a practical use. More and more of us will be employed to produce impractical things, like NFTs.

Considering art has been around forever, and music/TV/film is booming, I foresee a surge in owning physical art.

If you are not a talented artist with lots of luck, how can you capitalise on this?

Galleries are of course the most common way to view/buy unique pieces of art. With more art being purchased, that means more galleries are needed. And thanks to the pandemic, there are many empty commercial properties than can be used. All you need is some walls and proper lighting.

It could be time from galleries to arrive in suburbs and towns that have never had one before.

Experiences are a growing category of consumer spending. Art can be part of experiences, including painting classes. Or art could be sold at major events like concerts.

Hybrid galleries could take off. Anywhere that sophisticated people lounge about, it is nice to have art simply there, and it can also be for sale. For example bookshops and restaurants or universities. Or somewhere that people have to wait, like food trucks, doctors, emergency wards…

Traveling galleries could work. And old converted bus could utilise natural light in the day. If it visits your town for a day, that becomes a little event.

Online viewing of physical galleries. For galleries featuring an exhibition of an artist, they often show some works on their website. Galleries should join forces for an online portal where people can browse the current works at local galleries.

Dutch Auctions could help people feel more involved/excited. There are probably many ways to gamify the selling of art.

Hybrid Formats. Offer just the one, unique, physical piece of art – but also prints/mugs/tshirts whatever in a limited edition.

Contests. People love being involved with picking a winner. Have a themed contest and invite gallery visitors to vote. Someone gets a gift from a random drawing. The winning art gets a prize and extra promotion.

Frames. Everybody needs a frame for their art. So why not exhibit some art at the frame shop – visitors are 100% your target market.

In Situ. Having a big gathering at your home, with many quasi-acquaintances? Get a free loan of some great art, and have flyers for their exhibition. Or at the open for inspection of a house for sale. Or show home. In a TV show set.

NFTs. Not not virtual art, but NFTs that denote you own the physical art, that gives you access to perhaps some kind of OnlyFans experience online, invites to opening nights… The NFT itself can have a physical container that is arty. Or, when the Metaverse takes off, the NFT grants you the right to display the digital version of the piece you own, in online spaces.

Posted in Art

The Wearable QR Code

Tiered-membership access to random people.

The QR code be present overtly or covertly or in-between:

  • Big and bold on your t-shirt – along with the brand name of the app
  • Subtle on your t-shirt, like a logo in the upper corner
  • A card in your wallet/purse/bag
  • Tattooed on your thigh

The QR code will take you to a website to sign up, or to the app if it is already installed. Sign up needs to be very quick and easy. Compliance aspects can be done later.

When someone uses the app to connect with you, they get the opportunity to see your About, and to Follow you on the socials. Also previews to any paid content. If they are new to the app, these are pending until you complete registration.

They can also apply to get greater levels of access. Like your email, friend you on Socials, your OnlyFans, your phone number.

The recipient of the requests gets the time and location where you met, and optionally a selfie taken at that time of the two of you. Possibly, requests are ignored unless a photo with you in it, time and geo-stamped with where you were, is included.

The Why: this has been attempted many times before, the meet and connect app. It has never taken off because it needs the momentum of everyone having the app installed first.

The Name: It needs to emphasise how quick and easy it is to connect. Something like Quix. Or EzyMeet. Quix.io is available.

Autonomous Powered Vehicles

Imagine if your car simply ran, without adding fuel or charging it?

I don’t think this will happen, but boats are different, because they are on water, and water can become hydrogen.

Combining two forms of sustainable energy into one range-extending propulsion system, Swiss Sustainable Yachts’ clean, quiet catamaran promises to jumpstart a future in which the word “range” becomes obsolete. The 64-footer harnesses solar energy to create its own hydrogen, powering a fuel cell-electric drive to potentially limitless autonomy, so long as the sun is shining and the captain isn’t pushing past cruising speed. 
https://newatlas.com/marine/aquon-one-solar-hydrogen-yacht/

The article goes on to say:

The idea of relying on sunlight to create electricity, to power hydrogen conversion, to again create electricity for propulsion sounds rather inefficient on its face, and we have doubts as to whether the Aquon One will be able to produce hydrogen as effectively as billed or obtain anything near “limitless” range. 

I tend to agree but what if it is better?

We already have solar-powered boats but this could be next level.

If it does work, and of course efficiencies can be improved, how can this be used on land?

We could park our cars in a lake… Or of course use tap water. So instead of going to a charging station for our hydrogen, we can make it ourselves. That isn’t autonomous though. So here’s an idea – canals. Maybe just to replace trucks, but with the added benefit of delivering water to places that need it in our warming world.