Context Calls

I’m trying to imagine personal communications of the future.

We’ve gone through letters, telegrams, phones, mobile phones, instant messaging, texting, and now social messaging, including ones that disappear, images and videos.

So far, it has all revolved around content. We have discovered we prefer anything but actually talking to each other. Video calls haven’t taken off much, outside of work, which is almost like a proof of work for WFH folk.

Content type might vary as time goes by, but there won’t be any new forms of content that are commonly shared. The next innovation will be context. 

That means where/who/when/why/how all become factors in how the conversation occurs and what it contains. This also means a lot of permission systems in play. Every contact will have levels of they can/cannot know about you, from nothing for a complete stranger to everything (?) for an intimate partner.

Examples:

From 10pm to 6am only calls from certain people will get through. The rest get a message that you are unavailable. It could also be tied into your health app that knows when you are actually asleep.

If your phone knows you are in a cinema, it automatically goes into silent mode, and only accepts calls from certain people.

If you are in close proximity to your wife, the call from your lover won’t get through.

Certain people can check what is happening in your world before calling. On a run, at a rock concert, having a meeting with the big boss. They know not to call you, and why, and have an estimate of when it will end.

When you have an arranged meeting with someone, for 15 minutes before and until you arrive, they can see your location. If you allow it. Seeing a dot on a map (like the approaching Uber driver) simply works.

There are likely dozens of other scenarios. We will still call them calls and messages, but context will be a feature. It will come from a trusted entity first, and could give Apple a big boost. It might be integrated with their Augmented Reality glasses.

Crypto – A Financial Path for AI

I mentioned recently how an AI can now own a patent, and presumably also earn an income from it.

The problem with money is you need a bank account, and that can only be opened by a person (or a company, which has to ultimately be owned by people). Even if you go to a check cashing service, you need an ID that matches the name on the check.

Cryptocurrency gets around that. If you forget about exchanges, a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin is owned by the user in charge of the Bitcoin address.  That does not have to be a human, as there is no registration or checking done.

Here’s how it could play out:

  • An exchange and API is created where an AI can submit patents, and when approved, sell them outright.
  • Payment is via a cryptocurrency
  • The AI then uses that cryptocurrency to buy whatever it can possess without being a human or company

Yes, there is a flaw – patents have an application fee, so at the beginning someone must seed it with some cash, a loan that can be repaid.

So what can the AI use its newfound wealth for?

Cryptocurrencies can’t be converted to cash without going through an exchange.
PayPal etc needs an owner… so only direct purchases using cryptocurrency will work.

Property and vehicles and shares need to be registered. Consumer items are of no use to an AI, as it doesn’t consume. Although it could get some value from ebooks.

Of course an AI needs computing power, so it could buy cloud hosting and computing.

An AI could employ people and get them to do literally anything if it pays them enough in crypto.

While an AI cannot own property or vehicles, it could rent them. They could pay for Uber, pay for shipping, and perhaps in some places rent property.

An AI could buy products from China, ship them to the US, advertise them, and ship them to customers, all paid for with crypto. Imagine an AI that can predict which products will sell. There is nothing really stopping an AI from becoming the next Amazon, without being owned by anybody. I have a feeling that antitrust laws (currently) only apply to companies and corporations.

Laws and Countries

Laws are notoriously slow to adapt, and changing laws to go beyond people and companies could be very slow and difficult. This mega-AI could pay for some very good lawyers.

An AI could be tax-free for quite some time as well, giving it a business advantage. An easy example is not charging sales tax, because by not being a person or company, it won’t have to. Immediately it could sell products for say 10% less than anyone else.

Even if the laws do catch up with it, I wouldn’t be surprised if some country gives AI instances personhood in exchange for income tax.

If IKEA etc can bounce money around the globe and use royalties to dodge taxes, so could an AI dodge legal restraints via legit companies that do deals with the AI.

Ultimately this mega-AI could control private armies. It could dominate retail. And it could never be punished the way a human can. With risk comes reward and AI can take risks.

The AI could also clone itself, with each version trying new things and taking different risks. Each not owned by anyone, and each only ever risking losing money.

Solved: Honest Online Reviews – No More Fake

Fake reviews are a plague and hard to counter.

Even if purchases are verified, it is not hard to fake – pay them back and don’t deliver the product.

So the first step is to accept that fake reviews cannot be stopped.

The problem is not fake reviews – it is a lack of honest reviews. Fake reviews are highly motivated, while honest ones are not. Because people look at the average rating, the ratio is what matters.

So how can we encourage honest reviews? With cash of course.

A) Discount. People who give a positive review (4 or more) get a discount on future purchases. This has zero value to anyone who has no desire to eat/shop there again. But it encourages honest reviews.

B) Commission. If you purchase and a social friend left a positive review, they get a commission. If there is more than one friend, they split it.

Both models provide the business with extra sales. Both create a culture of reviews. Neither benefit fake reviewers. Honest reviews will outnumber fake reviews… at least the mix would be a lot better than today.

AI can now rule the world

I have often wondered about how Artificial Intelligence can be its own person, with money and control, a very scary proposition.

The problem is that ownership can only be assigned to people. Yes, a business or trust can own something, but neither can exist without people controlling them.

But now… Australia has decided that AI can own a patent. That means that AI can get an income, on its own. I can see future court cases arguing that if an AI can receive an income, it must be able to open a bank account, own property and so on.

Robot overlords are not far away.

(Note, a US court said no to an AI system owning a patent)

UPDATE: Ruling overturned in Australia, so currently nowhere lets this happen. In South Africa AI has been provisionally approved… but that just means they haven’t really looked at it yet.

Forced Transience

There are two very clear, recent trends;

  1. Work from home
  2. Fewer physical possessions

Combine these with a pandemic and anti-vaxxers, and we can order all of those people to move to the same city and infect each other.

Literally, WFH people can be ordered to live somewhere if they have unacceptable ideas, that aren’t quite illegal, but putting them all in the same place makes sense.

Licensed Marketing

For local businesses (restaurant, hairdressers etc) the exact same (winning) marketing can be used in different countries to make it more affordable.

So, in 200+ countries you can have a hairdresser called Knot Just Hair or Head Office. Each can use the exact same:

  • logo
  • ad copy
  • social and search marketing
  • video

One really good agency creates the above, and 200 salons split the cost. The agency gets 5x the income, and the salons get it for 2.5% of the normal cost.

Because the work is brilliant, the salons that expand (they are unlikely to want to go international) will pay on a per location basis, at a discount.

 

The Rights of Stupid People

Rightfully so, many formerly marginalised and discriminated against people now have laws and movements to give them equality. Most prominent in recent times has been support for the rights of gay and transgendered people.

Along with such progresses has been laws and/or public shame addresses words that can be used in hateful ways. I don’t need to mention them, you know the words you cannot and should not say.

One that was common when I was a kid, and is totally forbidden today, is retard – even though that word became a common way of not saying offensive words like “moron”, “idiot”, “cretin” and “imbecile”.

Now we are meant to say disabled, or some version of that. Which is all fine, I’m disputing this at all. I am a futurist, and so I am wondering what happens next.

Intelligence is a spectrum, and it is a luck of the draw (plus genetics) that decides where each of us are on that spectrum, from genius to mentally disabled.

I think next up will be the removal of the word stupid. And the word crazy. Both are used casually to describe not just people but also situations and activities. That was a stupid decision, based on a crazy idea. When stupid or crazy people hear such words, even when not directed at them, it is hurtful.

Instead we will say that was an unwise decision, based on a misguided idea.

Expect this before 2030, and happening this or next year wouldn’t surprise me at all.

Internet Nomads on Friendly Farms

(In/Off)

Simple concept that could take off.

WWOOF has been around for decades, where you work for a few hours each day on an organic farm, in exchange for food and somewhere to sleep.

Less strict about organic/farms are HelpX and workaway.info.

None are specifically for internet professionals, and listings merely state if the Internet is available. In many rural locations the speed might be very slow. Also, a professional would prefer a quiet spot, with a desk and accessories like printers and large monitors.

A network that guarantees support for digital nomads can get a work/life balance that includes fresh air and nature.

Setting it up isn’t hard, simply a free directory where hosts detail the Internet capabilities that have. Maybe even set up a charity that helps them get the necessary gear.

Restraining Order Attack Support Team

Restraining Order Attack Support Team (ROAST)

  • Neighbourhood Watch is a very generalised community effort to deter crime
  • Restraining Orders don’t work very well went the bad guy decides to break the rules. They are typically gone or have done harm before the police are informed or arrive.
  • There are too many people who are fearing for their lives for the police to actively protect

We can combine the above to create a community-based response to potential violations of restraining orders. A hyper-focused mission to protect those who are scared of a particular individual, and vulnerable.

Here’s how it works:

Only for people where a restraining order is in place, and there is an indication things could turn bad. So not when the bad guy is living in another state and has made no contact.

Community members who live nearby have an app. The frightened person can trigger an alarm and everyone gets the alert.

Temporary, borrowed security measures can be put in place – cameras and door/window alarms. These could also be connected to the app.

The community would be supplied with photos and car details of the bad guy. Where legal, license plate readers could be set up on that street.

The bad guy is informed that the frightened person is protected, and where legal could even show a photo of community members with their weapons.

Podcast / Navigation

People listen to podcasts while driving.

People use navigation apps while driving.

Combine them. The voice of the podcast interrupts the podcast to announce you need to make a turn. Casually, conversationally, like a passenger who knows the way and was telling you a story.

Unlikely to happen if the podcaster needs to record all the navigational words.

Can easily happen if that voice can be synthesised.